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Thread: The GOP Deathwatch Thread

  1. #691
    Loves ponies. Hates phonies. Regina Phalange's Avatar
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    Some analysis and more cautious optimism. I need something to cling to.

    If turnout across all 435 districts followed this same pattern of partisan participation, then Democrats would win a 314-seat majority in the 435-seat House of Representatives next year.

    Is that a realistic outcome? No, of course it isn't. But Democrats only need 218 seats to win the House majority, a pickup of 24. If Republicans keep doing what they've been doing, (fumbling on healthcare reform is a good example of what they've been doing) and fail to give their regular voters a reason to turn out and support them, then they're going to get a big enough shellacking that we might see a return to Speaker Pelosi in 2019.

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  3. #693
    fire up the quattro SMMY's Avatar
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    I'll just leave this here


  4. #694
    Administrator Ryan's Avatar
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    So Louise Mensch said on April 13th that sources told her Jason Chaffetz was involved with #TrumpRussia (more superficially that Russians had kompromat on him) and that the FBI was aware. Today he announced he's not seeking reelection and a top Republican source in Utah revealed that Chaffetz might step down before his term is done. Are the rats abandoning ship?

  5. #695
    Loves ponies. Hates phonies. Regina Phalange's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ryan View Post
    So Louise Mensch said on April 13th that sources told her Jason Chaffetz was involved with #TrumpRussia (more superficially that Russians had kompromat on him) and that the FBI was aware. Today he announced he's not seeking reelection and a top Republican source in Utah revealed that Chaffetz might step down before his term is done. Are the rats abandoning ship?
    I'd say they're scrambling for immunity. I don't think she wrote it, but on Mensch's blog she has a story about a tape of Trump offering Russians favors in exchange for the aforementioned election assistance. Not sure how true it is, but it goes well with the guy who said "They're all going to jail" and the white-faced congresspeople who had that secret meeting whose contents still hasn't leaked. Rumor also has it that Ryan and McConnell were deeply involved. Which also would explain their trying to ram everything in they could WHILE they could and their reluctance to do any investigations. He's the biggest domino, but he doesn't seem to be the only one. Graham and McCain, while supporting everything he's done at the same time as pretending to denounce him, might be the only two real vocal, public ones not involved before the fact.

  6. #696
    worth a million in prizes .chris's Avatar
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    I'm skeptical that many people, if any, are going to go down with this Russia stuff. I'm just so pessimistic right now. The only way something is going to happen is if the FBI produces something truly explosive. Even then you need 2/3 of the Senate to impeach the president. The Republicans are just so bat shit insane and delusional that I could see impeachment being an uphill slog even with hard evidence. FFS, he admitted to assaulting women and tons came forward and they still stood by him. I think I may need another newsfast soon because I see myself starting to resign to defeat
    Last edited by .chris; 04-20-2017 at 01:58 AM.

  7. #697
    fire up the quattro SMMY's Avatar
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    What I can see happening is that this drags on, as I'm sure the Dems are hoping, through the 2018 midterms. I heard that the Senate investigation alone could be at least the better part of a year. I don't know whether this investigation will tilt more towards the Watergate investigation, where people strongly supported the Congressional hearings or if it goes the way of the Clinton Impeachment, where people got sick of it. I would bet, because it involves the Russians attempting to influence an election, it goes more like the former, where people actually did go to jail.

  8. #698
    Loves ponies. Hates phonies. Regina Phalange's Avatar
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    Still just a rumor at this point, but this guy has been pretty reliable.

  9. #699
    Administrator Ryan's Avatar
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    Several people see that coming.

    Affair? Russia collusion? Hmmmmm. There's a rumor that a big WaPo story is in the pipeline for tomorrow. Maybe it's related?

  10. #700
    Loves ponies. Hates phonies. Regina Phalange's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ryan View Post
    Several people see that coming.

    Affair? Russia collusion? Hmmmmm. There's a rumor that a big WaPo story is in the pipeline for tomorrow. Maybe it's related?
    CDAN had a blind item about a politician's affair about to come to light and then today he retweeted someone asking if it was Chaffetz without saying it was Chaffetz.

    I guess Chaffetz said he might not finish his term earlier today, but made it sound more far off into it, not like within 24 hours.

  11. #701
    Loves ponies. Hates phonies. Regina Phalange's Avatar
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    Not really news, but who doesn't love a good owning of Ted Cruz by Al Franken?


  12. #702
    Remember. Steve SFM's Avatar
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    Ho-lee shit. The Republican candidate in the special Congressional election in Montana (a seat the Democrats really, really want to flip) just physically attacked a Guardian reporter covering the race. Chris Hayes is covering it right now. He played an audiotape of the incident, and it is FREAKY. It's up on the Guardian site now.
    At my core, I think we're gonna be OK.

    Barack Hussein Obama

  13. #703
    Administrator Ryan's Avatar
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    I've been following on Twitter. They said cops were involved but that the candidate left the scene. Shouldn't he be arrested?

  14. #704
    Let them eat cheese flan Nancy's Avatar
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    The GOP savaged the character of the Democratic candidate and he was still ahead. This should take him over the finish line. We need to send that reporter some flowers.

  15. #705
    Remember. Steve SFM's Avatar
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    So the R's team released a statement saying the reporter started it. Unfortunately for them, the reporter's account was corroborated.

    By a team from FOX.
    At my core, I think we're gonna be OK.

    Barack Hussein Obama

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